Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.476752 0.548891 0.627814 0.720511 0.826348 0.943368 1.082517
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.396495 0.499382 0.621831 0.778056 0.971834 1.204060 1.503281
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.329425 0.450591 0.606346 0.820616 1.107091 1.476220 1.987293
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.275354 0.406685 0.588007 0.855418 1.238417 1.765684 2.545014
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.235686 0.373838 0.577624 0.898075 1.386969 2.101943 3.223448
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.196863 0.333963 0.549157 0.908473 1.489860 2.389063 3.879140
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.170667 0.308192 0.536848 0.940398 1.629638 2.751737 4.706727
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.143444 0.274954 0.505924 0.935560 1.707805 3.027185 5.436525
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.124989 0.253334 0.490569 0.953979 1.827307 3.387357 6.362201
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.105032 0.224719 0.457161 0.933118 1.871801 3.621620 7.099060
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.095205 0.214095 0.455709 0.972259 2.034136 4.091857 8.337368
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.087887 0.207178 0.460216 1.023619 2.227780 4.647432 9.817479
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.077102 0.190785 0.442765 1.027637 2.328338 5.040279 11.044458
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.067407 0.174891 0.423567 1.024590 2.413689 5.415182 12.292152
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.059332 0.161185 0.406812 1.024102 2.504669 5.815295 13.653709
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.052767 0.149867 0.393591 1.029548 2.610118 6.262147 15.184324
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.048103 0.142544 0.388798 1.054705 2.766428 6.845961 17.111759
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.042607 0.131734 0.373141 1.049561 2.847495 7.266099 18.715247
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.039084 0.125784 0.369183 1.074358 3.008491 7.900318 20.926717
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.034537 0.115771 0.352255 1.060941 3.067220 8.290332 22.585939
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.031548 0.109906 0.345978 1.076329 3.206432 8.904390 24.905886
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.027616 0.100101 0.326303 1.049333 3.223240 9.201475 26.435418
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.026060 0.097891 0.329246 1.090676 3.443143 10.073980 29.640038